Posts Tagged ‘defense’

Boise State: National Title Worthy in 2010?

August 20th, 2010

We are a mere two weeks away from the kickoff of the 2010 college football season. 

Leading up to this much anticipated moment has been a lot of jawing and talking amongst college football fans, plus the release of some of major publications and prognosticators preseason polls.

The most distinguished and meaningful poll that has been released is the USA Today Coaches' Poll.

Skimming through those rankings you'll find many of the normals getting preseason love:  Alabama, Ohio State, Texas, Florida, Virginia Tech, and Oklahoma.  What you may also notice is the lofty ranking of non-BCS contender Boise State sitting at #5.

This is easily the highest preseason ranking that Boise State has ever received.  Just last year, in a season in which many predicted an undefeated season for the Broncos, they were preseason ranked #14 before their home clash with Oregon.

Now Boise State finds itself in the unfamiliar position as one of the favorites to actually win that ever elusive National Title. 

The real question is whether they are worthy of such an early ranking and much bally-hooed respect?

I'll break this down into three parts:

  • Why they can win the title
  • Why they can't win the title
  • Are they deserving to have the chance?
  • 

Why Boise State Can Win the 2010 National Title:

Unless you have been living under a rock over the past six months, you are well aware that Boise State is returning 20 or 21 (depending on what information you deem as correct) starters from last years 14-10 Fiesta Bowl champion team.

That alone should give credence to Boise's high ranking.  The fact that it finished 4th in the final polls also gives credence to the extremely high expectations entering the 2010 season.

Junior quarterback, and Heisman hopeful, Kellen Moore returns to lead a very potent Bronco attack.  Jeremy Avery is a sleek and nimble running back that fits extremely well into the Broncos' wide-open offensive game-plan and wide receivers Austin Pettis and Titus Young form a solid one-two punch to catch many of the deliveries from Moore.  With the entire unit returning from a team that averaged 42.2 points per game last year, one can surely expect some fireworks out of the Boise State offense this year.

Defense?

Often overlooked, the Boise State defense has been the real reason as to why the Broncos have crept up the rankings over the last five years.  Just last year, this unit only gave up eight and 10 points respectively to Oregon and TCU.  Those teams finished the season as the nation's #5 and #8 ranked scoring offenses when all was said and done.

Toss in the fact that the Broncos finished as the nation's #1 ranked scoring offense and #14 ranked scoring defense and you can see why they have received such a high preseason ranking.

Take away the name Boise State, and put Alabama, Florida, or Texas on the moniker, and you'd likely see a team ranked #1 in just about every preseason poll when you consider the number of starters returning from such a wildly successful 2009 team.

But......this IS Boise State, and that leads into the reasons as to....

Why Boise State Can't Win the National Title in 2010:

This one simply comes down to two games: Virginia Tech and Oregon State.  Never, in the history of Boise State football have they had to play two BCS preseason ranked teams in the regular season.

The Broncos first contest of the season is at a 'neutral site' against fellow top 10 preseason ranked opponent Virginia Tech.  This game will be played at FedEx field in Landover, MD.  A stadium that seats over 90,000 fans and will assuredly have well over 70,000 fans wearing Hokie colors loudly and proudly.

While Virginia Tech is only returning four starters on defense, I'm not sure that anybody is doubting Frank Beamer and defensive coordinator Bud Foster from being able to put together yet another strong stop unit in Blacksburg this year.  The Hokies do return, however, some of the most explosive offensive talent in all of college football including three-year starter Tyrod Taylor at Quarterback.

Joining Taylor is one of the most talented running back stables in all of college football including Ryan Williams, Darren Evans, and David Wilson.  Along with these great running backs are a very underrated wide receiver corps led by Jarrett Boykin and Danny Coale.  In a less than pass happy offense, both of these guys caught at least 30 balls and covered a combined yardage total of over 1,400 yards.  Toss in three offnsive linemen returning, and the Hokies will assuredly average more than the credible 31.8 points per game that they put up just last year during a 10-3 season.

Next up would be Oregon State.  Led by one of the most underrated coaches in the entire nation (Mike Riley), the Beavers are returning 15 starters from a solid 8-5 2009 squad.  Amongst those starters returning are the electrifying talents of brothers Jacquizz and James Rodgers.  While Oregon State does have to replace its quarterback, it does have four starting offensive linemen. 

On defense, however, is where Boise may be able to exploit the Beavers as they did give up 25 points per game last year including 28 or more in five games, including 42 to USC and 37 to Oregon. 

Stephen Paea is a stud defensive tackle and could provide some problems for Boise, along with free safety Lance Mitchell and strong safety Lance Collins. 

With that said, the Beavers defense will be much better than anything they will face in the WAC, and the Rodger brothers will likely provide as solid a one-two offensive punch as anything that Boise will see all season.

And that leads into..........

Is Boise State Deserving of a National Title Shot in 2010:

Time for some facts.

In the entire history of Boise State's arrival in Division I-A (FBS) football it has played fourteen ranked opponents.  The Broncos are 7-7 in those contests including a recent 5-2 run since 2006 with wins over #10 Oklahoma (2007 Fiesta Bowl), #17 Oregon in 2008, #21 Fresno State in 2008, #16 Oregon in 2009, and #4 TCU in (2010 Fiesta Bowl).

Not a bad record at all.

Since 1996, Boise State has also played 20 BCS level schools. In those contests, it stands with a paltry 7-13 record, but does currently hold a five game winning streak against said schools.

While this all seems well and good from an outside perspective, we really need to put these numbers up against a fellow National Title BCS contender to put them into perspective.

In the last three years, the Florida Gators have played 13 ranked opponents and have amassed a sparkling 10-3 record in those contests. 

In the last three years, the Gators have played 33 BCS level teams and own a 27-6 record against those teams.  All told, the Gators, in three short years, have played 13 more BCS level teams and almost as many ranked opponents as Boise State has played in 15 years. And in those three years, the Gators have amassed a much better record than Boise State has.

Thus the question.  Is Boise State truly worthy of a National Title shot in 2010?

While Boise State has gotten a lot of mileage out of victories over Oklahoma, Oregon, and TCU over the past few years, they have still only defeated two teams that were ranked in the Top 10 over a four year stretch. And those are Boise's only wins over Top 10 teams in the entire history of their program. 

In Florida's 2008 National Title season, they defeated the following:  #4 (LSU), #8 (Georgia), #24 (South Carolina), #23 (Florida State), #1 (Alabama) and #2 (Oklahoma) on their way in truly earning a National Title.  They beat twice as many Top 10 teams in a single season as Boise State has done in the entire history of their program.

So, if Boise State does beat Virginia Tech and Oregon State, and then runs the table over the remainder of its games against opponents that BCS level schools schedule for filling, does it really deserve a shot at the title?

Interesting to say the least, and with Boise State's lofty early season ranking it has every chance to do so.  

Question is, are the Broncos deserving of that title shot if they are 12-0 come December?

NFL Predictions for 2010 Season: New England Patriots Defense

August 20th, 2010

The NFL is just 12 days away from its first mandatory roster cut where tough decisions will have to be made. The New England Patriots have had one major concern plaguing them over the last two seasons, their defense.

This preseason boasts an extremely promising young group coming to New England for  the next few seasons under the guidance of defensive mastermind Bill Belichick.

27th overall pick Devin McCourty will add young depth at the cornerback position where no starter has been on the roster for more than three seasons. 

The biggest surprise will come from second year cornerback Kyle Arrington, who survived the 53 man cut in 2009 and looks to do the same in 2010. Arrington serves as a multi-purpose cornerback where he has the speed and strength to be a special teams sniper.

The biggest struggle for New England's comes at linebacker. Veterans Tully Banta-Cain and Derrick Burgess will be the teachers of a linebacking core that carries three rookies (Jermaine Cunningham, Dane Fletcher, and Brandon Spikes) and a converted defensive lineman (Rob Ninkovich). Likely cuts at the position are Tyrone McKenzie and Marques Murrell.

The safety position in New England has been a free touchdown for any pass friendly team in the last few seasons. Hard hitting Brandon Meriwether is slowly becoming the role-player the New England scouts envisions back when they drafted him in 2007.

Whereas sixth year veteran Brandon McGowan is slowly filling the expectations fans and coached hoped he would. The 26-year-old, former Chicago bear, is an injury prone risk that was known when New England originally signed him as an unrestricted free agent in 2009. McGowan posted career highs in multiple categories in 2009 in a secondary that needs him to produce bigger numbers in 2010.

New England will also look to take away the running game that ran through the middle of the field like they were a high school freshman squad in 2009.

The addition of Gerard Warren, a former third overall draft pick back in 2001 will add some size to a defensive line that already sits two giants with Vince Wilfork and Mike Wright.

The major concern is the depth behind the veteran crew. Three rookies (Kade Weston, Kyle Love, and Brandon Deaderick) will attempt to make the cut  at a position that currently has 11 players with only four starting roles. 

With the mix of rookie ego and veteran mentality it is a roster that is very similar to 2002, where the team failed to make the playoffs.

This season will have its ups and downs but the 17th ranked defense in most mock season predictions will have a beyond average season that will make the experts look silly when they do not give any credit where at least some credit is due.

 



Jim Harbaugh: Is Stanford Ready to Compete For a National Championship?

August 20th, 2010

1-11

In 2006, Walt Harris finished his two year Stanford coaching tenure with one of the worst records in college football, 1-11.

The team was at a low point. They were losing key pieces everywhere—losing quarterback Trent Edwards to the NFL, losing head coach Walt Harris, who was fired after the season, and most importantly, they were losing their way as a program.

The Cardinals were in desperate need of a resolute leader to step in and stabilize the team.

They found that in San Diego Head Coach Jim Harbaugh. The former NFL quarterback was 43 years of age, energetic, and focused on success. Harbaugh had just led his San Diego Torreos team to a 22-2 record and two consecutive conference championships over a two year span.

He stepped in and immediately switched around the attitude of the team. Stanford fans were finally seeing some some competitiveness and juice out of the players again.

It paid off in the fifth game of the season at the Los Angeles Coliseum. The 1-3 Cardinals were an almost historically heavy underdog yet somehow pulled off a 24-23 upset of the mighty USC Trojans. The peasant had beaten the king. Now, Harbaugh was on his way to becoming the new “it” coach of the conference.

Harbaugh’s building efforts came to fruition during the 2009 season. Freshman Quarterback Andrew Luck teamed up with senior running back Toby Gerhart to help lead Stanford to an 8-4 regular season record and the school’s first bowl appearance in eight years. The highpoint of the season came when Harbaugh's bunch gave Pete Carroll's Trojans a 55-21 thumping in Los Angeles. Toby Gerhart, who rushed for three TDs in the game, would use the performance as his calling card in a bid to win the Heisman Trophy.

Gerhart is off to the NFL but Luck, now a redshirt sophomore, is back to lead the offense. The team seems strong and solid almost everywhere with a very balanced looking depth chart. Stanford is experienced in the most important areas (quarterback, offensive line, secondary), and has a fair share of kids who can make difference making plays.

Luck is the big name, but this team runs a lot deeper. The O-line is full of guys with all conference potential and the best player could also be the youngest. Left Tackle Jonathan Martin may only be a sophomore, but it already looks like he could have some big pro potential to offer.

At the skill positions are a pair of potential breakout players—wide receiver Chris Owusu and running back Stepfan Taylor. Both players have shown glimpses that they have what it takes to be special.

The Defense has a standout player on every level. Big Sione Fua mans the middle of the 3-4 defense. The nose tackle has the strength and size to occupy opposing blockers. Thomas Keiser moves to outside linebacker where he can really use his speed to penetrate opposing backfields. The secondary returns talented tacklers Rhichard Sherman and Delano Howell.

The real key to success could be the special teams unit. Kicker Nate Whitaker and punter David Green are experienced and consistent, and Chris Owuswu might be the best returner in the nation.

The team looks good and the Pac 10 finally looks like a wide open conference this season. The schedule isn’t daunting, but it also isn’t easy. The team has a fair share of challenging road games on tap including visits to UCLA, Notre Dame, and Oregon early on in the season. The last time the team made trips to all three of those schools in the same year, they ended up losing all three games.

For this team, the most important thing will be their attitude. Toby Gerhart leads a big void to be filled, but the offense has more than enough to survive. Luck has to put the offense on his shoulders and show that he really is the first round type quarterback that everybody has labeled him.

Stanford certainly has what it takes to win the Pac 10 this season; as for the national championship—I wouldn’t doubt Harbaugh’s capabilities.

Will The Buffalo Sabres’ Defense Be Better?

August 20th, 2010

This is Part Two of an eight-part series of questions about the Sabres that many people have been wondering about over the offseason

Defense hasn't really been a strong suit of the Sabres for the few years after the lockout. However, last year's defense may have surprised many people.  

While it certainly is not an elite defense, the Sabres' defense could have been considered a top 15 defense last season, which puts them in the top half of the league. 

With the emergence of defensman Tyler Myers, the Sabres gained a credible defensman on their team who will probably make his name in the league for years to come.  While defensman Henkrik Tallinder can be credited for the "tutoring" of Myers, Tallinder's play benefited just as much as Myers' did. 

Steve Montador had a decent year as far as statistics go, and he was highly underrated as far as the Sabres defense goes.  His partner for most of the year, Toni Lydman, was mostly solid, though he had trouble with turnovers.  

Craig Rivet, captain of the Sabres, had a down year, playing with rotating defensman Andrej Sekera and Chris Butler; with neither being able to nail down a roster spot. If there was anything weak about the Sabres' defense last year, it was their defensive depth.  

Craig Rivet's troubles sprouted from an injury that he had suffered the season before, when he tore the double labrum in his shoulder.  Rivet recently had surgery on the shoulder and should be back by the season opener, according to GM Darcy Regier.  

Besides hoping that Rivet's shoulder heals up nicely, the Sabres had two other problems at the beginning of this offseason: the expiring contracts of Toni Lydman and Henrik Tallinder.  

The Sabres were not able to get a deal done before free agency kicked off, as they lost Lydman (Ducks) and Tallinder (Devils) to their respective new teams.  

To fix this problem, the Sabres made two defensive signings.  Darcy Regier announced the signing of defensman Jordan Leopold to a three-year deal on July 1st, the day free agency in the NHL started.  Many assumed that Leopold would be the only addition to the Sabres' defensive core, as it was expected that Regier would fill the remaining spots with minor leaguers like Mike Weber or Marc-Andre Gragnani.  

However, Regier shocked the Sabres fan base by waiving forward Buffalo's own Tim Kennedy, and then signing defensman Shaone Morrisonn on the same day.  Morrisonn brings the Sabres a strong, stay-at-home defensman, who has been partnered with offensive defensman Mike Green of the Washington Capitals.  

With the subtractions of Henrik Tallinder and Toni Lydman, someone would be hard-pressed to say that the Sabres could roll out a better defensive unit this year, though it is possible.  

Jordan Leopold brings the Sabres a possible power play quarterback, as Leopold is known more to be an offensive defensman; something the Sabres truly lacked last season.

Shane Morrisonn brings the Sabres a stay-at-home defensman they've been missing since Jay McKee left to join the St. Louis Blues in 2006.  

If Rivet can come back fully healthy, he could have a bounce-back year along with defensive partner Chris Butler, who could certainly use a healthy Rivet after the year he had last year.  Butler was a revelation during the final months of his rookie campaign, though he went through a major sophomore slump. Playing with a healthy defense partner could do wonders for Butler in his third and final year on his entry-level contract.  

Tyler Myers hopes not to have the sophomore slump as Chris Butler did, but he can look no further than Maple Leaf's defensman Luke Schenn that it could very well happen to himself this year.  Myers is a very smart defensman who seems way beyond his years in his knowledge of the game.  

The big question is: of Andrej Sekera, Mike Weber, and Marc-Andre Gragnani, who makes the big club?  Sekera will need to have a strong camp in order to make the team, as he seemed to be in Lindy Ruff's doghouse along with Chris Butler last season.  It is quite possible that Butler could be sent back down to Portland in favor of Weber or Gragnani. Weber would bring the Sabres another stay-at-home defensman.  However, Weber does log a lot of PIMs, and a lot of stupid ones at that.  Gragnani brings an offensive upside to the Sabres, as he has led the Portland Pirates in points for defensmen the last two years. Andrej Sekera will likely make the team no matter what, as he has a one-way contract. Sekera could end up being the Sabres' 7th defensman, though, meaning he'd see a lot of the press box.  

Through all of this, there is one person who hopes that the Sabres' defense is at least on par, or better than the Sabres defensive unit last season.  Ryan Miller won a Vezina Trophy for league's best goaltender last season behind this defense.  If this year's defense is better than last year's, then that bodes well for him.  

Follow me on Twitter (@tluck81)
You can also check me out as the beat-writer for the Buffalo Sabres at Sports Haze, an up-and-coming sports website.  


College Football Countdown No. 7: Iowa Hawkeyes

August 19th, 2010

The One Great Season College Football Countdown continues Thursday. We'll be counting down the preseason Top 25 teams in 2010. Today's No. 7 is Iowa.

By JOHN P. WISE
One Great Season

Iowa's defense turned heads last year, and while that unit should again be strong, its offense might be just as dangerous in 2010.

America-loving quarterback Ricky Stanzi returns for his senior season. He earned plenty of headlines while helping Iowa to a 9-0 record—its best start in school history—to begin the 2009 season. Four of those wins were by a total of eight points, and another game required a 28-point fourth quarter in order to dismiss visiting Indiana.

The Hawkeyes shouldn't have to go the dramatic route as often in 2010. Stanzi is surrounded with loads of returning skill.

Running backs Adam Robinson and Brandon Wegher combined for 13 touchdowns and almost 1,500 yards after star-in-the-making Jewel Hampton tore his ACL and missed last season. He'll be back this year as well.

One Great Season College Football Preseason Top 25

Derrell Johnson-Koulianos and Marvin McNutt teamed up for 79 catches and more than 1,400 yards. Stanzi will have experienced targets in the passing game.

Eight starters are back on a defensive unit that allowed only 15 points per game last year.

Everyone talks about monster defensive end Adrian Clayborn (20 tackles for loss, 11.5 sacks in 2009), and certainly with good reason, but linebacker Jeremiha Hunter and safety Tyler Sash each have a chance to be excellent as well.

Hunter is a third-year starter who was second on the team in tackles last year. The senior's leadership will be key for an otherwise green unit.

Sash is also a third-year starter, and, paired with fellow ball-hawking safety Brett Greenwood, leads a secondary that should make plenty of big plays this season.

Who's back? QB Ricky Stanzi, RB Jewel Hampton, DE Adrian Clayborn, S Tyler Sash

Who's gone? OT Bryan Bulaga, LB Pat Angerer, LB A.J. Edds, CB Amari Spievey

Why they'll win: Loads of talent returning for one of last year's top defenses.

Why they'll lose: The offensive line must develop some cohesiveness in Iowa's first two games against scrubs before a difficult road test at Arizona. If the line struggles, the Hawkeyes will struggle.

Get your tickets: at Arizona (Sept. 18), vs. Penn State (Oct. 2), vs. Wisconsin (Oct. 23), vs. Ohio State (Nov. 20)

Prediction: 11-1 (7-1, second place Big Ten)




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