Butler for Hinrich: A Move the Chicago Bulls Should Strongly Consider

January 6th, 2010 by Josh Herman No comments »

Recently it's been rumored that the Washington Wizards are interested in trading former All-Star Caron Butler for longtime Chicago Bulls point guard Kirk Hinrich.

While Washington star guard Gilbert Arenas has the team reminiscing about past mascots, the Wizards have began openly talking about dumping a star player in order to get some sort of order back to such a distraught organization.

Butler and current leading scorer Antawn Jamison have both been rumored to be on the trading block as long as the Wizards can find some guys that don't like to shoot, per se.

And what better person and leader is there to try to organize a team than Kirk Hinrich?

Throughout his time with the Bulls, he has played with all kinds of personalities and egos including Tyson Chandler, Eddy Curry, Ben Gordon, Tyrus Thomas, Joakim Noah, Larry Hughes, and Ben Wallace.

He's been through five head coaches (including Pete Myers' three games).

After five consistent seasons that saw him average double digits in points and at least six assists per game, he was reduced to sitting the bench behind 2008 top overall pick Derrick Rose, and yet not a peep was made about the demotion.

Kirk Hinrich is a class act, a very good leader, and a consistent floor general.

He's been through coaching changes, personnel changes, and position changes, but he still goes out and gives his all every time he gets on the court.

Honestly, it'd be sad to lose a player like Captain Kirk, but for an extreme talent like Caron Butler, I think that Gar Forman has to pull the trigger on this one.

Although he's been injury-prone in his career, it may just be the Washington, D.C. Verizon Center, where Wizards have been falling quicker than Andres Nocioni on the block.

In his three seasons away from Washington (two with Miami and one with the Lakers), Butler averaged 74 games a season while playing only slightly less minutes than in his years with the Wizards.

Over his entire seven-plus seasons in the league, he's averaged 16.4 points per game on 44.2 percent shooting from the field.

And although he wouldn't provide much of a three-point threat (31.5 percent for his career behind the arc), he would allow a struggling John Salmons to move out of the starting lineup, while creating one of the biggest and most athletic starting five in the Eastern Conference.

A line-up including Butler (6'7"), Luol Deng (6'8"), Tyrus Thomas (6'9") or Taj Gibson (6'9") and Joakim Noah (6'11") would provide a big and lengthy team whose defensive intensity could rival that of the Jerry Sloan-era Bulls.

The addition of Butler would also provide more offense to a team that ranks near-to-last in the league in scoring.

In fact, the versatility that he would bring to the Bulls, I'd be willing to even give up a draft pick along with Hinrich for the former All-Star.

After all, with an addition like Chris Bosh or Amare Stoudemire in the off-season to add to the line-up featuring stars like Derrick Rose and Butler, the Bulls could finally get that championship-contender tag they've been lacking for the past decade.

Randy Johnson’s First Two Wins as a Major Leaguer

January 6th, 2010 by Arne Christensen No comments »

To commemorate Randy Johnson's retirement, here are some details about his earliest days in the majors, pitching for the Expos. The Big Unit made his major league debut on September 15, 1988 as the tallest player ever to play in the majors, supplanting 6-foot-9 Johnny Gee, a left-handed pitcher who played for Pittsburgh and the New York Giants during the Second World War.

A newspaper reported:

For Johnson, the road he hopes will lead to the Hall of Fame began at 7:35 PM last night when he threw a fastball for a strike to 5-foot-7 Pittsburgh leadoff hitter John Cangelosi.

Cangelosi, who would be looking uphill at Johnson without the pitcher’s mound, got in his licks before the game.

“I hope he doesn’t hit me (with a pitch)” Cangelosi said. “I’d hate to have to charge the mound.”

As it turned out that wasn’t necessary. Johnson’s control was less than perfect— he threw 96 pitches in his five innings of work – but he walked only three batters while striking out six, hit no one.

Johnson admitted he spent a restless night—“I didn’t get to sleep until 4 AM,” he said—but insisted that he wasn’t nervous.

“Well, maybe a little,” he said. “Then I came to the park and I was a little more nervous. But I was really nervous when I finished warming up in the bullpen and was walking in."

“But when that first pitch was a strike, I was comfortable.”

“I don’t think my size means anything, except that some batters might find it intimidating,” said Johnson. “I’d like to be able to use my height to give me that advantage.”

“The big thing was that my slider was working,” Johnson said. “Everybody knows that I’m a power pitcher, but you can’t throw fastballs past these hitters. Glenn Wilson [who hit two homers off Randy] proved that.”

Johnson has been widely touted as the top left-handed pitching prospect in the minors and his debut was widely heralded. Montreal fans managed to ignore it for the most part, however. Only 9,494 fans turned out.

The Expos won Randy's debut, 9-4, to give him his first win. A few days later, on September 20, came news of improvement by Johnson, pitching in one of the first night games at Wrigley Field. The Associated Press reported:

Randy Johnson, the tallest player in major-league history, made short work of Chicago Tuesday night.

Johnson, a six-foot-10 left-hander making only his second major-league appearance, allowed six hits and struck out 11, leading Montreal over the Cubs and a split of their doubleheader.

"I think being tall gives me an advantage,” said Johnson. "And I’m kind of animated; I show enthusiasm out there. I think that gives me an advantage."

"I think tonight they [the Cubs] were intimidated from the get-go. I had intensity, and I felt like I was in command of the game. That’s important. But I was more nervous tonight than in my first game, though I don’t know why. Maybe because it was a night game and it was outside.”

The nervousness didn’t seem to bother him—he walked just one and retired 11 straight between the fifth and ninth innings.

"He pitched well tonight,” said Expos manager Buck Rodgers. "He’s got good stuff."

"He throws about 95 miles per hour. Tonight I was happy with his command. If he has control of his stuff, he’s going to win a lot of ballgames.”

“Tonight I was just wild enough to keep ‘em off the plate,” said Johnson—who wore a T-shirt emblazoned with the face of punk rocker Sid Vicious under his uniform. “I know I need my breaking stuff to be good. And I keep feeling more confidence about it with each outing.”

Johnson said it was his second complete game in four seasons as a professional. “I got one against Rochester. I also made it to the ninth my last game in Triple-A before things got pretty hairy, too."

“I don’t know what happened tonight. I think I just lost my concentration.”

By "hairy," Randy meant that in the ninth, he allowed two hits and threw a wild pitch to lose the shutout in his second game. He still came away with the complete game and a 9-1 win over the Cubs. The Big Unit was traded to the Mariners in May 1989 before he had the chance to do much for the Expos. You probably know the rest of the story.

 

 

 

Orange Bowl Halftime Thoughts

January 6th, 2010 by Zachary Osterman No comments »

(Will Josh Nesbitt or any Georgia Tech player be finding the end zone tonight?)

Just some thoughts, as usual. Will be back afterward.

  • If Georgia Tech can't get physical and execute up front offensively, then this game is already over.
  • Penalties are killing the Jackets.
  • Chandler Anderson, of all people, is Tech's game MVP so far. Maybe all he needed was a chance.
  • Ricky Stanzi is about what I expected. Pretty poised, still prone to mistakes, but in all, a good field general.
  • No fault for Dwyer, Nesbitt and Co., nothing they can do with all those black jerseys swarming.
  • Not bad from the Jackets defensively, but that false start on Joseph Gilbert really killed what felt like a good thing this team had going early.
  • All things considered, (The Jackets have 31 yards. Total yards.) this could be a lot worse. Down just one score and set to get the ball out of halftime, it's time for Paul Johnson's Georgia Tech to start executing against physical teams, and in bowl games. Or else get ready to answer another offseason's worth of questions about the spread option being vulnerable in bowl games.

Here’s a Thought: Was Minnesota Twins’ Jose Mijares Lucky in 2009?

January 6th, 2010 by Nathaniel Stoltz No comments »

Twins left-handed relief pitcher Jose Mijares has long been a highly-rated prospect, with a low-90s fastball and an excellent slider. He appeared to live up to the hype as a rookie in 2009, posting a 2.34 ERA.

Ah, but wait.

Mijares' FIP was 4.01 last year. His xFIP was even worse at 4.43.

Those numbers suggest that Mijares was one of the luckier pitchers in baseball last year.

So, is Mijares a very good pitcher, or is he just an average pitcher who benefited from good fortune in 2009?

A quick glance at Mijares' two big "luck" indicators points overwhelmingly toward the latter.

His BABIP was .266, and he stranded 89 percent of runners. Most pitchers strand about 70 to 75 percent of runners, a range that Mijares typically sat in while in the minors.

So it's safe to assume that he got some stranded runners luck.

Being a "stats guy," it would be very easy for me to just say, "And his .266 BABIP is bound to regress to around the .300 average" and end this article.

But that's not all I have to say about the Twins' hefty lefty.

Due to his weight, Mijares hides the ball well in his delivery, and it's been statistically shown that pitchers with deceptive deliveries can sustain lower BABIP figures than most. 

Indeed, Mijares put up a .253 BABIP across two levels in 2007 and had a .111 figure in his brief MLB stint in 2008. 

The biggest component of BABIP is line-drive rate, because at around 70 percent, liners fall in for hits far more often than any other type of batted ball. 

Mijares' 11.8 percent liner rate was second lowest in the majors last season.

Given this ability to keep batters from squaring up the ball, Mijares' low BABIP isn't a surprise.

My Expected BABIP formula has his 2009 at .265—one point below the .266 he actually posted, and trailing Colorado's Matt Daley by .004.

It's probably a bit much to ask Mijares to be in the top five in preventing liners year after year, particularly since the statistic is fairly volatile, but I'd be surprised if he wasn't consistently above average in that department from here on out.

When we look at the big picture of Mijares, then, we have to concede that he may not be a 2.34 ERA-quality pitcher (very few pitchers are), but he also isn't the 4.43 ERA pitcher his xFIP claims he is.

My True ERA numbers, which take batted balls into account, have him at 3.66 for 2009. Given his relative inexperience, one can expect him to improve a bit and post a low-to-mid-3s ERA in 2010.

Mike Shanahan To Be Named Washington Redskins Head Coach

January 6th, 2010 by kevin roberts No comments »

The Washington Redskins stuck another hand in the cookie jar and, for the moment, have come out on top as big winners, yet again.

Former Oakland Raiders and Denver Broncos head coach Mike Shanahan has agreed to a five-year deal worth roughly $7 million per year.

Shanahan reportedly was also given the VP of football operations title, which will give him the final say in almost every move dealing with his players and coaching staff.

Due to Shanahan's excellent offensive history, the Redskins can now focus (and take their time) on bringing in a strong-minded defensive guru to keep their top 10 defense playing at a high level.

The Skins' offense, which ranked 22nd overall in the league, was an inconsistent disaster all season, and the erratic performance of the passing game and poor play-calling led to the inevitable firing of former head coach Jim Zorn.

The hiring of Shanahan bodes well for former Denver running back, Clinton Portis, while likely meaning the end for young signal caller, Jason Campbell.

There are a number of directions the Redskins will move, starting immediately, but with an offensive mind like Shanahan's, a turnaround could be coming more quickly than some would think.

With Brandon Marshall becoming a restricted free agent and non-verbally cutting ties with the Broncos, look for Shanahan to pursue the disgruntled star receiver in a trade, as the new coach and VP begins to make a number of moves that should change the face of the Redskins offense.

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